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ROE measures a company’s returns on its shareholders’ investments
in the same manner. ROE is a company’s annual net income divided
by its shareholders equity.
ROE = net income/shareholder’s equity
ROE is widely reported, and many money managers rely on it as
a key gauge of a company’s profitability.
In the example, I suggested a situation where a $100,000 investment
(equity) yields a $10,000, or 10 percent annual return on your equity.
Let’s postulate that you could earn a 10 percent return on any
additional cash you put into the business. Further assume that you are
willing to invest your profits into growing the business, but you’re not
willing to put in additional cash or borrow more money.
Based on those assumptions, you’d invest your first year’s 10
percent return ($10,000) on your equity back into the business, so the
second year, the company would earn 10 percent on $110,000 equity, 10
percent more than the first year’s $100,000 equity, and so on.
Your 10 percent return on equity defined the maximum annual
growth that your company can achieve given the assumptions. In the
same way, ROE determines the maximum achievable growth for a corporation,
making similar assumptions. That is, that the company doesn't
raise additional cash by borrowing or selling more stock, and that its
profit margins remain constant.
Suppose in my hypothetical example that you had decided that
you’d take $1,000 out of the business annually, but reinvest the balance
of the profits in the business. In that instance, your $1,000 dividend
would have to be subtracted from your ROE to determine the future
growth. The term implied growth defines a corporation’s maximum
achievable growth accounting for dividends paid out by the firm.
implied growth = (net income – dividends)/shareholders’ equity
Implied growth is the same as ROE if a company doesn’t pay
dividends.
Assuming that it doesn’t raise additional cash, and profit margins
remain constant, a non-dividend-paying firm’s ROE defines its
maximum growth rate. Applying numbers to the equation, a 15 percent
ROE firm that doesn’t pay dividends is limited to 15 percent long-term
annual earnings growth, and less if it does pay a dividend.
Of course, companies often do raise additional funds though
borrowings or stock sales, and profit margins often do increase over
time, especially for newer companies. But stockholders are usually better
off if a company doesn't have to resort to those measures to grow.
Here’s why:
Selling additional stock dilutes per-share profits. For instance, a
company with one million shares outstanding, and $1 million net income
earns $1 per share. However, its EPS drops to $0.67 if the company
makes the same profit after selling another 500,000 shares.
The math works much the same if the firm borrows instead of
selling shares. For example, say the same company had borrowed $1
million at 8 percent interest a year earlier. In that instance, it would
earn $920,000 ($1 million less $80,000 interest), bringing its EPS
down to $0.92.
Despite this sensible reasoning, using ROE to evaluate a company’s
profitability has practical limitations.
Recall that ROE is calculated by dividing net income by shareholders’
equity. Book value is another way of expressing shareholder’s
equity. Book value is shareholder’s equity per share; that is, equity divided
by shares outstanding.
The problem lies in the equity or book value calculation. From
the name, you might conclude that book value represents the value of the
company’s hard assets, give or take asset depreciation or appreciation.
There is such a balance sheet figure—total assets—but it’s not the same
as equity or book value.
According to accounting rules, the left-side assets column total
must equal the right-side liabilities column total. Normally assets exceed
liabilities, so shareholder’s equity is added to the liabilities column
to make them equal, giving you the basic accounting equation:
assets = total liabilities + shareholder’s equity
or
shareholders’ equity = assets – liabilities
Some very smart money managers believe that ROE is the best
profitability measure. If you fall into that camp, you can overcome the
downside of ROE regarding debt by comparing the growth in book value
to ROE. That is, if management is properly reinvesting ROE, the
firm’s book value (shareholders equity) should be increasing at the same
rate as the ROE. |